ECUS vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+314%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
DIA
2 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
TAB
2 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ECU
0 - 2
MAN
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
9 - 1
ECU
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ECU
0 - 3
TAB
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAU
26%
24%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
11%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
USA
37%
24%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TAB
0 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
USA
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |