Sudamericano U20 Group B Round 3

Ecuador U20 vs Bolivia U20 analysis

Ecuador U20 Bolivia U20
53 ELO 45
0% Tilt 0%
2959º General ELO ranking 5871º
30º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
64.9%
Ecuador U20
20.9%
Draw
14.2%
Bolivia U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
Bolivia U20
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ecuador U20
-19%
-14%
Bolivia U20

ELO progression

Ecuador U20
Bolivia U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1992
BRA
Brasil U20
2 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
78%
15%
7%
52 80 28 0
17 Aug. 1992
PAR
Paraguay U20
1 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
68%
20%
12%
52 62 10 0
09 Feb. 1991
PAR
Paraguay U20
2 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
68%
20%
12%
52 63 11 0
07 Feb. 1991
URU
Uruguay U20
1 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
73%
18%
9%
52 69 17 0
05 Feb. 1991
PER
Perú U20
0 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
53%
25%
22%
52 50 2 0

Matches

Bolivia U20
Bolivia U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1992
PAR
Paraguay U20
2 - 0
Bolivia U20
BOL
74%
17%
9%
47 62 15 0
18 Aug. 1992
BRA
Brasil U20
1 - 0
Bolivia U20
BOL
80%
14%
6%
47 80 33 0
10 Feb. 1991
ARG
Argentina U20
1 - 0
Bolivia U20
BOL
76%
17%
8%
46 68 22 +1
06 Feb. 1991
CHI
Chile U20
3 - 1
Bolivia U20
BOL
64%
21%
15%
47 53 6 -1
04 Feb. 1991
BRA
Brasil U20
3 - 0
Bolivia U20
BOL
78%
15%
7%
48 78 30 -1