XV de Novembro vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ECN
0 - 1
MFC
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AMP
0 - 0
ECN
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ECN
3 - 2
AAI
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
AAI
1 - 0
ECN
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ECN
0 - 2
AMP
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 2
GDS
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
10 - 0
MAT
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 5
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
JOS
2 - 1
MAT
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
JOS
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |