XV de Novembro vs Bandeirante SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
ECN
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
ECN
0 - 2
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 1
ECN
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 0
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bandeirante SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 2
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 1
UNI
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FRA
4 - 2
BAN
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CAT
2 - 0
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 1
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |