EC São José vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
ECS
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ECS
4 - 0
PST
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
PST
1 - 3
ECS
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ECS
4 - 0
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITU
2 - 1
ECS
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
PST
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PST
2 - 1
ITU
21%
25%
53%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITU
2 - 1
ECS
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |