Gaucho 1 Normal Season Round 4

EC São José vs Grêmio analysis

EC São José Grêmio
54 ELO 85
-14.8% Tilt -7.6%
2142º General ELO ranking 154º
65º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
8.6%
EC São José
20.1%
Draw
71.3%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
EC São José
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
71.3%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC São José
-7%
-13%
Grêmio

ELO progression

EC São José
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC São José
EC São José
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2018
ECS
EC São José
2 - 1
Novo Hamburgo
NOV
33%
27%
40%
51 55 4 0
21 Jan. 2018
VER
Veranópolis
3 - 1
EC São José
ECS
47%
26%
27%
52 55 3 -1
17 Jan. 2018
ECS
EC São José
2 - 1
Cruzeiro RS
CRU
30%
27%
43%
51 56 5 +1
29 Dec. 2017
ECS
EC São José
0 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
8%
18%
74%
51 80 29 0
29 Oct. 2017
ECS
EC São José
3 - 0
Aimoré
AIM
46%
26%
28%
50 48 2 +1

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2018
ECA
EC Avenida
3 - 2
Grêmio
GRE
9%
20%
71%
86 49 37 0
20 Jan. 2018
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 5
Caxias do Sul
CAX
76%
18%
6%
86 58 28 0
18 Jan. 2018
SLU
São Luiz
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
8%
20%
72%
86 49 37 0
16 Dec. 2017
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
84%
11%
6%
86 93 7 0
12 Dec. 2017
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
46%
25%
29%
86 84 2 0