EC São José vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
ECS
77%
17%
6%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ECS
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 0
VER
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 0
ECS
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
3 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
CAX
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
7%
17%
77%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
IPA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |