Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 2-1
EC São José vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ECS
0 - 2
ISM
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
ECS
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ECS
3 - 2
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ISM
1 - 3
ECS
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 0
YPI
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 2
ARN
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
ARN
5 - 0
CCP
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 1
ABC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
2 - 1
ARN
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |