Bahía vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 1
FLA
33%
29%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
SPO
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 3
BAH
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAH
3 - 0
FFL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
VAL
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
SAN
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |