Bahía vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 2
BAH
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 1
ABC
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 1
BAH
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 0
TRE
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 0
BAH
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
PPE
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |