Bahía vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
4 - 1
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BAH
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 4
ICA
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
AMF
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
NAU
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 1
NAU
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |