Bahía vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
BAH
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 2
CRZ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
5 - 1
COT
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
AMF
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |