Bahía vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
BAH
5 - 0
VIT
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 0
BAH
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
BAH
0 - 3
VIT
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 4
BAH
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 1
ITA
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
FOR
4 - 2
ICA
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 1
HOR
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
FER
0 - 0
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |