Bahía vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAH
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 2
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 2
BAH
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
PPE
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAN
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |