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Brazilian Serie A. Matchday 16

Bahía vs Atlético GO analysis

Bahía Atlético GO
69 ELO 63
1% Tilt 19%
298º General ELO ranking 500º
16º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
52.8%
Bahía
23.6%
Draw
23.6%
Atlético GO

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
Bahía
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
Atlético GO
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bahía
+4%
-27%
Atlético GO

Basic stats

53
47
POS
15
12
SOT
4
5
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
16
30
FRK
69
63
ELO
1.8
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Bahía
Their league position
Atlético GO
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
18º
17º
50
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atl. Mineiro
84
86
100%
Flamengo
71
73
100%
Palmeiras
63
65
100%
Corinthians
57
58
70%
Fortaleza EC
55
57
81%
RB Bragantino
53
55
100%
Fluminense
51
53
37%
América Mineiro
50
51
19%
Atlético GO
50
51
10º
16%
Ceará
10º
50
50
11º
27%
Santos FC
11º
49
51
6%
Internacional
12º
48
49
13º
26%
São Paulo
13º
48
49
12º
27%
Athletico Paranaense
14º
46
48
14º
50%
Cuiabá
15º
46
47
15º
99%
Bahía
16º
43
44
17º
50%
EC Juventude
17º
43
44
16º
49%
Grêmio
18º
40
41
18º
100%
Sport Recife
19º
37
38
19º
100%
Chapecoense
20º
15
16
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bahía
Atlético GO
Champion
0% 0%
Copa Libertadores
0% 0%
Copa Libertadores knockout stages
0% 0%
South American Liguilla
0% 100%
Mid-table
50% 0%
Relegation
50% 0%

ELO progression

Bahía
BAH
Atlético GO
ATL
Chapecoense
CHA
Grêmio
GRE
América Mineiro
AMF
Flamengo
FLA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2021
CUI
Cuiabá
1 - 1
Bahía
BAH
35%
27%
38%
1852 1188 -664 -4
05 Aug. 2021
BAH
Bahía
2 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
36%
27%
37%
1839 2422 -583 +14
01 Aug. 2021
BAH
Bahía
0 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
55%
25%
20%
1850 1623 227 -13
29 Jul. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 0
Bahía
BAH
63%
21%
16%
1858 2402 544 -7
25 Jul. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 0
Bahía
BAH
58%
22%
20%
1865 2391 526 -9

Matches

Atlético GO
Atlético GO
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2021
CEA
Ceará
0 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
53%
24%
22%
1555 1828 273 +3
05 Aug. 2021
ATL
Atlético GO
2 - 2
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
34%
27%
39%
1550 2316 -766 +6
02 Aug. 2021
ATL
Atlético GO
1 - 1
América Mineiro
AMF
51%
26%
23%
1550 1477 73 -1
28 Jul. 2021
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
65%
20%
15%
1555 2324 769 -3
25 Jul. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
71%
17%
12%
1536 2362 826 +16