Bahía vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
JAC
0 - 0
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 2
BAH
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 1
ATP
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 2
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
JAC
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 2
ALA
61%
20%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |