Bahía vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
BAH
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAH
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
BAH
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
POR
3 - 1
FFL
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
VIL
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 3
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 3
VAS
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |