EC Avenida vs Guarany Camaqua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
ECA
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ECA
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
0 - 0
ECA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
2 - 0
FAR
60%
21%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 0
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
GFC
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
0 - 1
FAR
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
0 - 0
ECA
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
GFC
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |