EC Avenida vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CAX
0 - 1
ECA
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SLU
1 - 3
ECA
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
ECA
2 - 2
SAP
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 3
ECS
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
YPI
4 - 2
ECA
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
VER
3 - 1
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 5
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |