Ebolitana vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GAV
3 - 1
EBO
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 1
EBO
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
EBO
2 - 2
ARZ
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
APR
1 - 3
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EBO
3 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
CAM
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
5 - 0
LAQ
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LAT
0 - 1
LAQ
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GAV
0 - 1
LAQ
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |