Easthouses Lily vs Penicuik Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Easthouses Lily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
6 - 2
TWR
94%
5%
1%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
4 - 2
ARN
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TWR
0 - 3
EAS
4%
9%
87%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
4 - 0
EAS
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 3
MUS
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
HBH
2 - 1
PEN
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 4
PEN
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
4 - 0
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
HAW
93%
6%
2%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
4 - 0
EAS
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |