Eastern Suburbs vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HAW
4 - 0
EAS
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 0
HAW
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
EAS
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ECB
4 - 2
EAS
7%
14%
78%
|
61 | 25 | 36 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 2
SOU
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HAW
0 - 2
WAI
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAI
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 1
WAI
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 1
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |