Eastern Suburbs vs Manukau United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.7%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
4º
2º
10
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
9%
15%
77%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
EAS
41%
24%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
6 - 1
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
0 - 2
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
WES
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manukau United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MUF
2 - 1
MEL
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
MUF
88%
9%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MUF
3 - 4
WCR
57%
19%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MUF
0 - 5
AUC
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
6 - 0
MUF
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |