New Zealand Premiership Normal Season Round 13

Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis

Eastern Suburbs Hamilton Wanderers
66 ELO 56
10.6% Tilt 17.1%
6860º General ELO ranking 10407º
11º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
66.8%
Eastern Suburbs
19.6%
Draw
13.7%
Hamilton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
Eastern Suburbs
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.7%
Win probability
Hamilton Wanderers
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eastern Suburbs
+17%
+12%
Hamilton Wanderers

ELO progression

Eastern Suburbs
Hamilton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eastern Suburbs
Eastern Suburbs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2021
TEA
Team Wellington
7 - 0
Eastern Suburbs
EAS
57%
22%
21%
67 67 0 0
06 Feb. 2021
WAI
Waitakere United
4 - 0
Eastern Suburbs
EAS
41%
25%
34%
68 62 6 -1
31 Jan. 2021
EAS
Eastern Suburbs
8 - 0
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
62%
22%
17%
68 58 10 0
24 Jan. 2021
EAS
Eastern Suburbs
1 - 1
Auckland City
AUC
46%
26%
28%
67 69 2 +1
16 Jan. 2021
CAN
Canterbury United
1 - 0
Eastern Suburbs
EAS
32%
26%
42%
68 60 8 -1

Matches

Hamilton Wanderers
Hamilton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2021
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
3 - 2
Waitakere United
WAI
28%
25%
47%
55 63 8 0
06 Feb. 2021
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
1 - 2
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
59%
20%
21%
54 57 3 +1
31 Jan. 2021
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
1 - 1
Canterbury United
CAN
33%
26%
41%
53 61 8 +1
24 Jan. 2021
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
1 - 4
Hawkes Bay United
HAW
42%
23%
35%
54 55 1 -1
16 Jan. 2021
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 1
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
69%
19%
12%
55 69 14 -1