Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
EAS
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
BAO
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 2
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
HAW
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WES
1 - 1
EAS
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
86%
9%
4%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 0
AFC
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
5 - 0
MET
42%
22%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AUC
4 - 0
PIR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAG
84%
11%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |