East Thurrock United FC vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 2
DUL
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 0
BUR
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TON
1 - 2
EAS
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
VCD
1 - 3
EAS
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
EAS
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LEW
3 - 1
CAN
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAM
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
TON
28%
26%
47%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 3
MET
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NEE
2 - 3
CAN
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |