Third Division Round 15

East Fife vs Montrose analysis

East Fife Montrose
52 ELO 44
-3.8% Tilt 2.7%
3136º General ELO ranking 3546º
37º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
63.7%
East Fife
21.3%
Draw
14.9%
Montrose

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
East Fife
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15%
Win probability
Montrose
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
East Fife
-4%
-23%
Montrose

ELO progression

East Fife
Montrose
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

East Fife
East Fife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2006
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 1
East Fife
EAS
58%
23%
19%
52 60 8 0
04 Nov. 2006
EAS
East Fife
1 - 1
Elgin City
ELG
59%
23%
19%
52 47 5 0
28 Oct. 2006
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 4
East Fife
EAS
25%
25%
49%
51 36 15 +1
21 Oct. 2006
EAS
East Fife
2 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
57%
23%
20%
51 47 4 0
14 Oct. 2006
STE
Stenhousemuir
0 - 1
East Fife
EAS
63%
21%
16%
51 58 7 0

Matches

Montrose
Montrose
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2006
MON
Montrose
0 - 3
Queen's Park
QUE
33%
29%
38%
46 55 9 0
04 Nov. 2006
MON
Montrose
0 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
27%
26%
47%
46 56 10 0
28 Oct. 2006
ALB
Albion Rovers
3 - 1
Montrose
MON
59%
21%
19%
47 47 0 -1
21 Oct. 2006
MON
Montrose
0 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
28%
26%
46%
48 57 9 -1
14 Oct. 2006
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Montrose
MON
53%
24%
23%
49 49 0 -1