DZC '68 vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DZC '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 2
DZC
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DZC
1 - 3
SDV
20%
23%
56%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DOS
4 - 3
DZC
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DZC
1 - 1
WVF
50%
23%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NSC
2 - 0
DZC
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GOA
0 - 1
FCZ
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZWA
0 - 1
GOA
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GOA
2 - 1
BEQ
47%
23%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DTS
1 - 1
GOA
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GOA
2 - 3
OLD
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |