Duruji vs Rustavi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
5 - 2
DUR
64%
17%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 3
GAR
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BAK
3 - 2
DUR
5%
10%
85%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | -3 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 1
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 4
STU
21%
20%
59%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Rustavi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
2 - 0
HER
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 3
RUS
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
0 - 4
TEL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 1
RUS
38%
25%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
RUS
1 - 1
WIT
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |