Duruji vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BAK
3 - 2
DUR
5%
10%
85%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 1
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 4
STU
21%
20%
59%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
RVA
3 - 1
DUR
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 1
ADU
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 2
SAR
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 1
RUS
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 2
FKM
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAR
18%
19%
64%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 2
GAR
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |