Duruji vs Abuli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
DUR
5 - 1
IVE
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
ACH
4 - 1
DUR
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
0 - 0
ALG
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 0
IVE
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
DUR
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Abuli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
ABU
1 - 4
MET
22%
23%
54%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
TSK
6 - 0
ABU
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ABU
1 - 0
SAM
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SKO
2 - 1
ABU
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ABU
1 - 4
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |