Dürrenast vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
DUR
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 1
BUL
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 2
DUR
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 3
LAU
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LER
1 - 1
DUR
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
LYS
2 - 0
BER
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BER
7 - 0
FAR
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BUL
1 - 0
BER
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BER
5 - 0
FCS
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 0
BER
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |