Durham City vs Skelmersdale United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
60.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 0
FAR
23%
24%
54%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
OSS
0 - 1
DUR
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
OSS
3 - 0
DUR
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 1
RAD
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 1
WAK
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Skelmersdale United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 2
SKE
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SKE
3 - 1
WAK
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
BAM
2 - 2
SKE
25%
23%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SKE
3 - 1
MOS
75%
16%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SKE
4 - 1
WAR
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |