Durazno FC vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
DUR
1 - 2
CSC
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HFC
0 - 3
DUR
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 4
DUR
13%
17%
70%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DUR
0 - 0
ROC
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HBU
0 - 1
DUR
34%
23%
43%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 0
ALT
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 23 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
ROC
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DUR
0 - 0
ROC
32%
23%
45%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 0
HFC
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 1
HBU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |