Durazno FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ROC
2 - 0
DUR
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ETS
2 - 0
DUR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 3
BOS
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 3
DUR
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
REN
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BVS
1 - 2
PRO
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
4 - 0
REN
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
PRO
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
ROC
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DEP
0 - 3
PRO
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +2 |