Durango vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 5
DUR
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 4
DUR
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 3
QRO
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TIG
1 - 2
DUR
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 1
TAM
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
TIJ
26%
26%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
DOR
1 - 2
TIJ
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TIJ
3 - 0
REB
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GUE
1 - 0
TIJ
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TIJ
2 - 2
LEO
36%
27%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |