Apertura Ascenso MX Round 12

Durango vs Tampico Madero analysis

Durango Tampico Madero
58 ELO 59
-13.1% Tilt -11.8%
1206º General ELO ranking 699º
30º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
36.9%
Durango
26.4%
Draw
36.7%
Tampico Madero

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
Durango
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.7%
Win probability
Tampico Madero
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Durango
-5%
+15%
Tampico Madero

ELO progression

Durango
Tampico Madero
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Durango
Durango
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2008
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
2 - 0
Durango
DUR
66%
21%
13%
59 67 8 0
04 Oct. 2008
DUR
Durango
2 - 2
Santos Laguna Premier
CSL
58%
24%
19%
59 49 10 0
28 Sep. 2008
MON
Rayados de Monterrey Premie
1 - 1
Durango
DUR
44%
27%
30%
59 56 3 0
20 Sep. 2008
DUR
Durango
0 - 2
Indios Chihuahua
IND
53%
25%
22%
61 55 6 -2
13 Sep. 2008
DUR
Durango
0 - 0
Socio Águila
SAG
60%
24%
16%
61 53 8 0

Matches

Tampico Madero
Tampico Madero
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2008
TAM
Tampico Madero
2 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
24%
25%
51%
57 68 11 0
05 Oct. 2008
TIG
Tigres UANL Premier
1 - 0
Tampico Madero
TAM
48%
25%
27%
58 62 4 -1
21 Sep. 2008
TAM
Tampico Madero
1 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
32%
28%
41%
58 67 9 0
14 Sep. 2008
TAM
Tampico Madero
2 - 0
Santos Laguna Premier
CSL
58%
23%
20%
57 51 6 +1
07 Sep. 2008
MON
Rayados de Monterrey Premie
2 - 4
Tampico Madero
TAM
46%
25%
29%
56 58 2 +1