Duque de Caxias vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAB
3 - 2
DUQ
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 0
DUQ
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DUQ
2 - 2
GON
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
DUQ
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
AME
5 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 2
MAC
45%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 4
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
AUD
6 - 0
MAC
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 0
CMA
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |