Duque de Caxias vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAB
3 - 2
DUQ
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 0
DUQ
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DUQ
2 - 2
PET
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
DUQ
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
AME
5 - 1
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 2
MAC
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 4
SAM
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
AUD
6 - 0
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 0
CMA
30%
23%
48%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |