Duns vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
73.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEE
4 - 3
DUN
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
7 - 2
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
STI
5 - 1
DUN
68%
16%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LEI
5 - 1
DUN
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TYN
3 - 1
DUN
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOT
6 - 1
SPA
66%
17%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
LOT
3 - 0
BUR
87%
8%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 3
LOT
18%
17%
65%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 0
LOT
22%
19%
59%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STI
2 - 1
LOT
16%
18%
67%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |