DUNO vs SVL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
9º
5º
29
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DUNO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
SLI
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
DUN
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
BEN
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 1
DUN
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
SVW
85%
11%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
SVL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SVL
2 - 0
ALM
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
SVL
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SVL
1 - 0
ACH
65%
17%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 4
SVL
25%
21%
55%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SVL
1 - 4
LRC
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |