Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
10º
78
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 4
DUN
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
DUN
32%
24%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
DUN
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
INS
68%
18%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
POR
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
POG
3 - 2
LIN
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIN
21%
21%
58%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 5
POG
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
VLZ
1 - 0
LIN
31%
25%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
LIN
16%
19%
65%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |