Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
62%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 3
DUN
47%
23%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
WAR
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 2
CRU
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 1
LIN
16%
23%
62%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
18%
24%
57%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
LIN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |