Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DUN
3 - 6
CRU
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
3 - 2
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 3
CLI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 1
DUN
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 3
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
INS
4 - 2
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |