Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 3
DUN
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 3
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 2
DUN
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
INS
4 - 0
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CRU
4 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |