Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
10º
56
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
CLI
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
DUN
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
BAL
52%
21%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 3
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 0
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
8 - 2
NEW
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |