Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
15%
22%
64%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 3
CLI
13%
19%
69%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 1
CLI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GLE
5 - 1
BAL
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 1
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
59%
21%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |