Dungannon Swifts vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 5
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
QUB
2 - 1
DER
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DER
1 - 1
BAL
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
DER
2 - 0
BAL
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
DER
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |