Tennent's Irish Cup 1/16

Dungannon Swifts vs Dergview FC analysis

Dungannon Swifts Dergview FC
61 ELO 47
14.4% Tilt -2.3%
1529º General ELO ranking 6072º
Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Dungannon Swifts
16.5%
Draw
10.9%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
Dungannon Swifts
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.9%
Win probability
Dergview FC
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dungannon Swifts
+8%
-48%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Dungannon Swifts
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2017
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
2 - 2
Ballinamallard United
BAL
67%
19%
14%
61 52 9 0
31 Dec. 2016
GLE
Glentoran
2 - 2
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
46%
27%
27%
61 62 1 0
26 Dec. 2016
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
3 - 2
Ballinamallard United
BAL
67%
19%
14%
60 51 9 +1
17 Dec. 2016
POR
Portadown
2 - 0
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
32%
26%
43%
61 51 10 -1
10 Dec. 2016
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
3 - 1
Carrick Rangers
CAR
63%
21%
16%
61 55 6 0

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2016
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
5 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
57%
22%
21%
49 51 2 0
26 Dec. 2016
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 1
Institute
INS
33%
24%
43%
49 55 6 0
17 Dec. 2016
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 3
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
26%
24%
50%
49 60 11 0
10 Dec. 2016
KNO
Knockbreda
1 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
62%
20%
18%
48 52 4 +1
03 Dec. 2016
LAR
Larne
3 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
61%
20%
18%
48 51 3 0