Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
4 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 0
NEY
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |