Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 0
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
COL
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
24%
26%
51%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 3
CLI
57%
23%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 1
CRU
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |